0x16F918b231C38f73c46b2ba83DD72C6BACC26e9F-1767985359596
0x16f918b231c38f73c46b2ba83dd72c6bacc26e9f
- Realised P&L
- $-47.56
- Volume
- $45.3k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $231.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$522.73at 0.220Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$209.06at 0.159Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 29?
- +$170.39at 0.267Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$73.86at 0.230Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
- +$65.17at 0.270Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:31 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.5432031683 | $80.00 |
| 11-01 10:30 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.5999999985 | $80.00 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2156862739 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $21.43 |
| 11-01 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 08:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.6859316559 | $80.69 |