PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x16F918b231C38f73c46b2ba83DD72C6BACC26e9F-1767985359596

0x16f918b231c38f73c46b2ba83dd72c6bacc26e9f

Realised P&L
$-47.56
Volume
$45.3k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$231.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · No0.6000.995$132.60+$52.60
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.5430.670$98.67+$18.67
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0970.000$0.00−$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.1520.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.3820.000$0.00−$35.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.5750.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.4450.000$0.00−$10.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.0320.000$0.00−$3.58
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$20.00
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.1610.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.0350.000$0.00−$74.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.5880.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:31Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.5432031683$80.00
11-01 10:30Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.5999999985$80.00
11-01 09:26Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
11-01 09:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.02$10.00
11-01 09:25Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.02$10.00
11-01 09:24Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.04$10.00
11-01 09:24Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.0599999999$10.00
11-01 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.08$2.00
11-01 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.1099999951$2.00
11-01 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.149999997$5.00
11-01 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.2156862739$20.00
11-01 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSELL0.15$21.43
11-01 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.0699999999$10.00
11-01 08:49Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.02$2.00
11-01 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSELL0.6859316559$80.69