0x16F6f9719E286a220c135b2903D293E65703Fc9b-1757676963149
0x16f6f9719e286a220c135b2903d293e65703fc9b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $94.1k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $183.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers · Samsung Lions | 0.520 | 0.435 | $125.48 | −$24.52 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · NC Dinos | 0.398 | 0.549 | $38.16 | +$10.52 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.370 | 0.415 | $11.21 | +$1.22 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.340 | 0.405 | $9.11 | +$1.46 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants · Kiwoom Heroes | 0.307 | 0.003 | $0.02 | −$2.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$335.01 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.51 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox · Chicago Cubs | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves · Cincinnati Reds | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.71 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz · Kia Tigers | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.24 |
| Will three people dissent the April Fed decision? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.71 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$426.72at 0.494Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
- +$297.87at 0.682Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?
- +$153.75at 0.815Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$77.34at 0.667Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
- +$72.97at 0.685Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:45 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants | SELL | 0.19 | $0.67 |
| 09-30 09:25 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants | SELL | 0.24 | $2.14 |
| 09-30 09:24 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants | SELL | 0.25 | $1.65 |
| 09-30 00:24 | Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty | SELL | 0.39 | $108.33 |
| 09-29 22:24 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever | SELL | 0.52 | $98.11 |
| 09-29 09:25 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears | SELL | 0.35 | $23.02 |
| 09-29 09:25 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears | SELL | 0.35 | $21.87 |
| 09-29 09:25 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears | SELL | 0.35 | $20.83 |
| 09-29 09:25 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears | SELL | 0.35 | $19.88 |
| 09-28 00:54 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | SELL | 0.25 | $92.59 |
| 09-27 19:55 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | SELL | 0.36 | $85.71 |
| 09-27 19:05 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.41 | $9.32 |
| 09-26 19:03 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays | SELL | 0.59 | $6.41 |
| 09-26 02:10 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | SELL | 0.25 | $4.07 |
| 09-26 01:35 | Houston Astros vs. Athletics | SELL | 0.36 | $10.91 |