PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BIGDar

0x16e9b1b3c60b77e35639b90aaaf75e6ab2cbdb58

Realised P&L
$-62.33
Volume
$35.8k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1500.185$1.2k+$232.10
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.026$24.54$0.46
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.00
Israel strike on Iran on June 21? · No0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$30.00
Israel strike on Iran on June 20? · No0.0260.000$0.00$3.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3000.000$0.00$120.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$99.64
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$50.28
Israel strike on Iran on June 18? · No0.0080.000$0.00$6.00
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$19.78
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$80.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 03:50Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.18$2.34
08-21 03:09Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0269999974$10.00
08-20 21:20Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.16$4.80
08-20 01:30Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.14$13.78
08-19 15:57Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.14$14.00
08-18 16:01Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.14$29.40
08-18 15:59Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.14$43.40
08-18 15:57Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.13$42.76
08-18 15:57Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.12$41.46
08-18 15:57Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.11$140.43
08-18 15:44Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.1785660479$39.82
07-21 14:26Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.17$58.76
07-21 14:24Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.1799987423$28.62
07-21 14:24Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.17$10.88
07-21 14:22Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0269999983$15.00