0x16e60070102f02d1795174c80e644e7f7b124572
- Realised P&L
- $-12.76
- Volume
- $135.18
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $2.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.500 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.018 | $0.15 | −$1.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.87at 0.522Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?
- +$1.66at 0.552Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$1.28at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.14at 0.642Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.66at 0.740Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:37 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 15:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 07:13 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 21:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 11:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 12:27 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 02:29 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 23:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 05:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:42 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 16:41 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 16:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |