0x16e22fbace8f1402436e55d848902932c0499d2f
0x16e22fbace8f1402436e55d848902932c0499d2f
- Realised P&L
- $1.77
- Volume
- $102.75
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $47.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? · No | 0.950 | 0.992 | $5.11 | +$0.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.991 | $5.11 | +$0.21 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 22? · Yes | 0.951 | 0.992 | $5.11 | +$0.21 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.998 | $5.09 | +$0.19 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22? · No | 0.960 | 0.995 | $5.08 | +$0.18 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 23? · No | 0.950 | 0.950 | $4.90 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? · No | 0.956 | 0.953 | $4.88 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $4.87 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22? · No | 0.969 | 0.869 | $4.39 | −$0.51 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 22? · No | 0.950 | 0.628 | $3.24 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.19at 0.963Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 21?
- +$0.19at 0.963Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 21?
- +$0.19at 0.963Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 20, 2PM ET?
- +$0.19at 0.963Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 21?
- +$0.19at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.9559999938 | $4.90 |
| 10-21 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-21 16:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-21 08:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21? | BUY | 0.9699998832 | $4.90 |
| 10-21 05:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-21 04:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-21 04:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 22:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9689999943 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 21:00 | Ethereum above 2,460 on October 20, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 20:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 20:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9609999988 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 20:15 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 22? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 20:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 19:45 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.90 |
| 10-20 19:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9499999515 | $4.90 |