0x16e0f0eda036d35f038e4225291cc4e3dc7a8562
0x16e0f0eda036d35f038e4225291cc4e3dc7a8562
- Realised P&L
- $-115.07
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 485
- Open portfolio
- $4.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded485
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.91at 0.015Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 26?
- +$12.28at 0.016Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 27?
- +$12.07at 0.146St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics
- +$7.91at 0.025Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?
- +$5.23at 0.370Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:32 | Solana Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 13:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-27 13:22 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-26 17:12 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 27? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.21 |
| 09-26 17:04 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 27? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 06:27 | Solana Up or Down on September 26? | SELL | 0.489765625 | $2.51 |
| 09-26 01:05 | Solana Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 09:36 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 25? | BUY | 0.8099999838 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 09:16 | Solana Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $4.00 |
| 09-23 16:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.78 |
| 09-23 11:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 26? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.74 |
| 09-23 11:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 26? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |
| 09-23 02:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24? | SELL | 0.698 | $3.82 |
| 09-23 02:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 24? | BUY | 0.7309999808 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 23:13 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 25? | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |