0x16dbea0563365a1b5e7d019739809d893c9792d8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.77
- Volume
- $289.21
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $5.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.280 | $2.80 | +$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 16? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.325 | $2.50 | +$0.58 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $0.10 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 13? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.11at 0.125Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15?
- +$2.05at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?
- +$1.88at 0.253Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15?
- +$1.44at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?
- +$0.11at 0.063Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.338426528 | $5.21 |
| 09-15 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.92 |
| 09-14 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.85 |
| 09-14 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.243525 | $1.95 |
| 09-14 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 09-14 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-14 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 09-13 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 09-13 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-13 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.78 |
| 09-13 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 13? | BUY | 0.1364985994 | $1.95 |
| 09-11 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.53 |
| 09-10 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.12 |
| 09-10 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.88 |