PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x16dbea0563365a1b5e7d019739809d893c9792d8

Realised P&L
$-1.77
Volume
$289.21
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$5.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:50Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15?SELL0.338426528$5.21
09-15 05:05Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15?SELL0.5$4.00
09-14 22:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 16?BUY0.25$1.92
09-14 20:35Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 15?BUY0.12$1.85
09-14 18:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15?BUY0.243525$1.95
09-14 18:22Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 14?SELL0.04$0.32
09-14 16:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16?BUY0.19$1.90
09-14 16:07Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 14?SELL0.03$0.30
09-13 07:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 14?BUY0.24$1.92
09-13 07:20Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 14?BUY0.19$1.90
09-13 06:57Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13?BUY0.08$1.78
09-13 06:06Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 13?BUY0.1364985994$1.95
09-11 05:37Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?SELL0.3$3.53
09-10 14:50Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?SELL0.7$4.12
09-10 13:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?BUY0.16$1.88