goingred
0x16d7d86b51a68ca91a657f86194180135f171c40
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $315.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,749
- Open portfolio
- $13.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,749
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.475 | $9.50 | −$5.10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $4.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.011 | $0.21 | −$3.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$381.03at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$240.28at 0.265Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$212.18at 0.209Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$210.21at 0.334Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$210.12at 0.246Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 09-16 09:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-16 09:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 08:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.7815 | $46.89 |
| 09-16 05:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.75 |
| 09-16 05:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $8.25 |
| 09-16 05:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-15 13:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.92 | $32.20 |
| 09-15 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 09-15 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-15 05:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.56 | $15.68 |
| 09-15 05:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.7 | $28.00 |
| 09-14 11:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-14 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.624 | $15.60 |