shou1
0x16d6fe04a6eaf85948fb52375aa1e185f5fc89a4
- Realised P&L
- $24.31
- Volume
- $267.75
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $78.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.740 | $21.45 | +$1.45 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.544 | 0.879 | $16.17 | +$6.17 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.394 | $15.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.625 | $11.58 | +$1.58 |
| Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.315 | $6.30 | +$1.30 |
| Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.725 | $6.14 | +$1.14 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.051 | $1.82 | −$8.18 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.45at 0.662Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:32 | Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5899999493 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:28 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4239999939 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 01:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5439999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 01:04 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 15:34 | Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 15:19 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 14:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 10:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 20:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.229999987 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 17:15 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.344999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 17:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 00:09 | Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.679999994 | $32.00 |
| 09-07 16:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.4939998716 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 15:00 | Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 19:10 | Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |