PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x16d59b23305e96cf3de2491b684f02066ad9e000

0x16d59b23305e96cf3de2491b684f02066ad9e000

Realised P&L
$143.52
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$221.10

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:42Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.5222157395$13.86
11-01 19:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 3?BUY0.27$1.35
11-01 19:42Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 3?BUY0.2023595506$22.51
11-01 08:43Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2?BUY0.19$3.46
11-01 05:43Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.5399999994$36.14
11-01 01:43Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1?BUY0.19$3.80
11-01 00:43Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1?BUY0.2$2.00
10-31 22:42Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1?BUY0.19$1.14
10-31 20:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2?BUY0.2299999987$25.43
10-31 11:43Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?BUY0.6$24.00
10-31 11:43Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2?BUY0.4599999995$38.71
10-31 10:43Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 1?BUY0.3599999996$34.70
10-30 23:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?BUY0.2$9.69
10-30 22:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?BUY0.2181583794$5.92
10-30 21:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?BUY0.2030769231$13.20