0x16d2b773d056f881c2f86fa9eed2c36c38d52991
0x16d2b773d056f881c2f86fa9eed2c36c38d52991
- Realised P&L
- $-8.75
- Volume
- $477.56
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.048 | $7.33 | −$2.67 |
| Chiefs vs. Jaguars · Chiefs | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Interstellar object confirmed aliens? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Bengals (-6.5) · Bengals | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.32at 0.380Commanders vs. Chargers
- +$9.10at 0.520Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)
- +$7.82at 0.390Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
- +$-20.00at 0.620Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-20 06:13 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.0654413493 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 20:24 | Spread: Bengals (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4899999646 | $4.98 |
| 10-22 23:13 | O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 00:27 | Chiefs vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Commanders vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 00:12 | Spread: Ohio State (-8.5) | SELL | 0.993 | $19.10 |
| 09-27 06:51 | Spread: Ohio State (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 04:20 | Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 04:20 | Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 08-26 06:48 | Interstellar object confirmed aliens? | BUY | 0.027 | $5.00 |