PolyBot

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Traders

0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704

0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704

Realised P&L
$336.6k
Volume
$22.99M
Markets traded
4,641
Open portfolio
$29.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,641
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3771.000$11.3k+$7.0k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9640.960$2.9k−$14.50
Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No0.8220.963$1.4k+$211.47
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4890.295$1.3k−$854.55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.715$1.2k+$112.61
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · No0.9670.995$994.50+$27.50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7080.715$918.74+$9.63
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3560.235$831.90−$427.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0470.165$824.99+$589.77
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.7000.895$632.58+$137.78
Will Kai Havertz (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No0.9470.989$562.48+$23.78
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9480.996$535.55+$25.62
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.4510.345$522.22−$159.94
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.011$511.01+$199.34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1690.122$367.50−$139.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 07:47Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.69$196.65
10-30 07:45Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.876$600.73
10-29 21:40Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.837$1.7k
10-29 17:28Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.97$0.13
10-27 20:35Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.119$210.78
10-27 12:41Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.808$2.8k
10-22 11:35Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.908$908.25
10-20 19:36Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.02$17.31
10-20 08:45Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$767.99
10-12 22:31Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?BUY0.37$135.38
10-12 17:26Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.053$36.40
10-03 09:23Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.97$797.45
10-02 09:34Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$90.00
09-29 17:52Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$5.00
09-25 15:19Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.71$4.89