PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

usernameusernameusernameusername

0x16c2a114f93dbdf0d91428737cab3f0f7fcc01dc

Realised P&L
$469.58
Volume
$31.4k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$381.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4100.240$240.55−$170.40
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4440.403$128.80−$13.28
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$12.50−$12.50
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$4.40
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$9.30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3390.000$0.00−$1.69
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.3300.000$0.00−$12.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 20:24Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.444$142.08
10-27 17:48Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$25.00
10-21 15:11Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.18$42.82
10-21 15:09Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.76$211.55
09-14 07:33Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.32$29.48
09-14 07:21Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.31$29.03
09-14 07:19Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.61$61.00
09-09 07:41Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.46$15.18
09-09 07:38Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.46$23.00
09-08 15:06Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.47$6.95
09-08 15:05Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.67$6.70
09-07 07:31Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.46$9.20
09-07 07:30Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.86$28.33
08-27 09:18Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.57$34.56
08-26 14:26Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.336$35.57