predictfish537
0x16c0d806e2687467c6dcd5f70a9f9b5bf3a238ac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $264.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,300
- Open portfolio
- $243.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,300
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.860Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.180Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.920Will Amy Klobuchar vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
- +$1.24at 0.919Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.840Vanta IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 16:31 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats? | SELL | 0.786 | $39.30 |
| 03-27 16:31 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.824 | $41.20 |
| 03-27 05:23 | Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.32 |
| 03-27 05:06 | Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.36 |
| 03-27 04:33 | Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.35 |
| 03-27 03:38 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.091 | $0.68 |
| 03-27 03:28 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.096 | $1.20 |
| 03-27 03:19 | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.11 |
| 03-27 03:08 | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.09 |
| 03-27 02:54 | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 03-27 02:09 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 03-27 02:08 | Will the Republican Party win the GA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.935 | $46.75 |
| 03-27 01:18 | Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.24 |
| 03-27 01:14 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 03-27 00:56 | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.47 |