mhhhks
0x16be876db28012816a187370661cffb4a5b6bd3a
- Realised P&L
- $-40.23
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $76.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.555 | $76.02 | −$36.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.47at 0.972Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
- +$0.33at 0.977Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
- +$0.22at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 8?
- +$0.22at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8?
- +$0.11at 0.997Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 07:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $112.21 |
| 03-09 03:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $112.09 |
| 03-08 01:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.9969999994 | $111.99 |
| 03-07 07:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $111.89 |
| 03-06 23:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $111.67 |
| 03-06 00:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.995 | $111.45 |
| 03-04 03:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9719999998 | $109.98 |
| 03-01 14:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.87 |
| 02-26 02:02 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February? | BUY | 0.9989999988 | $109.76 |
| 02-25 10:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25? | BUY | 0.976999993 | $109.43 |