weva
0x16b42fb18b836f34e68315e37e99b126463b648a
- Realised P&L
- $10.61
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $4.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.005 | $1.65 | +$1.05 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.005 | $1.50 | +$0.90 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.048 | $0.38 | +$0.36 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.057 | $0.28 | −$0.47 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.056 | $0.28 | −$0.07 |
| Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.007 | $0.15 | −$0.35 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.80at 0.050SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$9.00at 0.100Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$8.90at 0.100SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
- +$8.50at 0.890Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in March?
- +$4.60at 0.080Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 07:40 | Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in May? | SELL | 0.0220833333 | $0.53 |
| 05-21 06:23 | Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.54 |
| 05-18 10:54 | Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 05-13 16:43 | Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 05-13 16:27 | Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 03-11 19:51 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 23:06 | Grok 4.20 released by April 20? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 01-22 12:47 | Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 01-22 11:14 | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.60 |
| 01-22 11:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.04 |
| 01-14 22:11 | US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 01-13 21:42 | Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 00:22 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 01-10 16:00 | Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 01-10 15:56 | Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |