PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weva

0x16b42fb18b836f34e68315e37e99b126463b648a

Realised P&L
$10.61
Volume
$39.8k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$4.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0020.005$1.65+$1.05
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%? · Yes0.0020.005$1.50+$0.90
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? · Yes0.0030.048$0.38+$0.36
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.1500.057$0.28$0.47
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.0700.056$0.28$0.07
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0250.007$0.15$0.35
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 07:40Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in May?SELL0.0220833333$0.53
05-21 06:23Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.001$1.54
05-18 10:54Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.001$4.00
05-13 16:43Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?BUY0.002$0.24
05-13 16:27Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?BUY0.003$0.02
03-11 19:51Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.1$1.00
02-16 23:06Grok 4.20 released by April 20?SELL0.014$0.07
01-22 12:47Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?SELL0.27$1.35
01-22 11:14Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?SELL0.003$0.60
01-22 11:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?SELL0.016$1.04
01-14 22:11US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?SELL0.07$0.77
01-13 21:42Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?BUY0.2$1.00
01-12 00:22Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?SELL0.1$3.00
01-10 16:00Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
01-10 15:56Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.089999919$1.00