PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MountainMike

0x16b29fa7c65df073e1d4a855d00bdfccb14268f0

Realised P&L
$-176.12
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$41.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Flames vs. Ducks · Ducks0.6500.645$25.80−$0.20
Oilers vs. Kings · Oilers0.5400.535$16.05−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down0.7750.000$0.00−$25.00
Canucks vs. Rangers · Canucks0.3000.000$0.00−$9.00
Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on November 7? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on October 29? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting? · No0.0150.000$0.00−$3.00
Jets vs. Sharks · Jets0.6500.000$0.00−$6.50
Will the price of XRP be between $2.60 and $2.70 on November 2? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Canucks vs. Hurricanes · Canucks0.2600.000$0.00−$20.80
Will Trump say "Chile" or "New Zealand" or "Albania" in October? · No0.0340.000$0.00−$1.00
Cardinals vs. Cowboys · Cowboys0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in October? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on October 27? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$10.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5? · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 04:23Flames vs. DucksBUY0.65$26.00
10-13 04:22Oilers vs. KingsBUY0.54$16.20
10-13 02:13Golden Knights vs. WildBUY0.93$93.00
10-13 00:59Senators vs. DevilsBUY0.8988$89.88
10-12 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.7499999625$5.00
10-12 20:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL0.48$4.80
10-12 20:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
10-12 20:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSELL0.94$5.46
10-12 20:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.86$5.00
10-12 18:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSELL0.58$6.43
10-12 18:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.4499999955$4.99
10-12 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.07$4.38
10-12 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.08$5.00
10-12 18:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.96$5.05
10-12 18:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.95$5.00