PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

08A

0x16ad082bcdcc7fc9b6899f3b6155528c7c2c936f

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7680.825$1.5k+$100.93
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7870.910$273.00+$36.90
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.5280.011$1.15−$51.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 21:53Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.789424$78.94
09-18 21:50Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.787$236.10
09-18 21:48Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7788980769$1.0k
09-18 21:46Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.74$54.76
09-18 21:45Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.5268253968$33.19
09-18 21:44Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.727$72.70
09-18 21:44Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.71825$143.65
09-18 21:36Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.08$195.36
09-14 16:57Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.6035078$1.5k
08-08 15:43Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.56$204.40
08-08 15:42Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.55$104.03
08-05 19:37Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.38$75.24
08-05 19:29Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.37$727.63
08-05 19:27Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.36$392.76
04-23 18:32Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?SELL0.999$3.4k