PolyBot

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Traders

0x16a4febeed956bc40f2d03e9e377196dd171c1e8

0x16a4febeed956bc40f2d03e9e377196dd171c1e8

Realised P&L
$0.95
Volume
$321.92
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$5.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · No0.5900.935$1.58+$0.58
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? · No0.6600.860$1.30+$0.30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7701.000$1.30+$0.30
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? · Yes0.7300.670$0.92−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:32Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-14 18:31Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-12 22:28Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-11 14:27Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.5899997404$1.00
10-11 06:19Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-10 21:29Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-10 12:52Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 04:41Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7699995842$1.00
10-09 17:42Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.4509999797$1.00
10-09 09:29Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-08 23:45Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-08 15:39Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6789998051$1.00
10-08 07:17Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.6639996016$1.00
10-07 23:17Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-07 15:17Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00