0x16a22af2aff005a6414bce20469e22ee70fd87ae
- Realised P&L
- $-4.97
- Volume
- $156.60
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $7.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.870 | $3.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.480 | $3.27 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.45at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$3.75at 0.450Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August?
- +$3.46at 0.470Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.30at 0.570Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.84at 0.620US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:30 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 11:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 13:29 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 05:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 21:07 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 15:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999688 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 06:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 20:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 13:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 02:54 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 02:54 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 18:46 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 10:28 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 01:10 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $3.00 |