0x1698309f8f13c7813d3de3186d5df41a0688b3b3
0x1698309f8f13c7813d3de3186d5df41a0688b3b3
- Realised P&L
- $-804.35
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.804 | 0.519 | $3.2k | −$1.8k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.885 | $242.32 | +$12.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-804.35at 0.779Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 03:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $270.27 |
| 08-16 17:29 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8399999982 | $230.00 |
| 08-16 17:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $1000.00 |
| 08-16 17:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8041568812 | $5.0k |