22QAQ
0x1691c5c584bd61fa7a8d4c850c52b046ce8116a1
- Realised P&L
- $-51.2k
- Volume
- $778.2k
- Markets traded
- 809
- Open portfolio
- $44.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded809
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.4kat 0.699Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$7.1kat 0.051Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$5.2kat 0.062Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.1kat 0.649Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.0kat 0.037Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:40 | Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $22.32 |
| 11-01 20:43 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.7 | $51.55 |
| 11-01 20:43 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.7 | $103.11 |
| 11-01 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $3.86 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 58.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $22.10 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.43 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $3.56 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $45.37 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $7.56 |
| 11-01 19:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.95 | $194.97 |
| 11-01 19:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.95 | $699.67 |
| 11-01 19:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.95 | $466.44 |
| 11-01 19:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.95 | $349.84 |
| 11-01 18:47 | Spread: Jets (-3.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $12.09 |
| 11-01 18:22 | Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.061 | $3.05 |