PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Profs650536

0x1690a2992ac456182603aefff6b9d0099dd572c8

Realised P&L
$-7.87
Volume
$157.6k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$16.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 5? · Yes0.1430.165$4.82+$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? · No0.6900.655$4.38−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 5? · Yes0.2400.215$2.28−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 5? · Yes0.1100.070$1.70−$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 5? · Yes0.1300.125$1.64−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5? · Yes0.2200.215$1.28−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00−$2.74
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 25? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 25? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 16? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00−$3.22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00−$3.17
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 25? · Yes0.4130.000$0.00−$8.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 25? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$6.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 10:50Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 5?BUY0.1299999916$1.71
10-04 10:50Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 5?BUY0.1431506849$4.18
10-04 10:48Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 5?BUY0.2399999849$2.54
10-04 10:45Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.689999997$4.61
10-04 10:45Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 5?BUY0.1099999967$2.67
10-04 10:44Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5?BUY0.2199999798$1.31
09-30 14:29Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 30?SELL0.15$0.75
09-29 05:26Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 30?BUY0.64$3.20
09-25 05:53Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 25?SELL0.22$1.12
09-25 05:51Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?SELL0.87$4.35
09-25 05:51Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.4709130935$2.70
09-25 05:51Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.2125675589$1.43
09-25 05:46Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.3699999966$2.20
09-25 05:45Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.2021569078$2.66
09-25 05:41Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.4$2.05