0x168EA4f22e08eea4bfD58715B28AEAA9DdE6D2e0-1765386243785
0x168ea4f22e08eea4bfd58715b28aeaa9dde6d2e0
- Realised P&L
- $-167.62
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 511
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded511
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) · Lakers | 0.560 | 0.575 | $2.88 | +$0.07 |
| Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5 · Under | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) · Pacers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.05 |
| Thunder vs. Mavericks · Thunder | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) · Pistons | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors · Lakers | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.66at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$31.25at 0.440Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?
- +$12.28at 0.670Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
- +$10.20at 0.490Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
- +$10.00at 0.500Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:48 | Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-31 12:18 | 76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 219.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 10-31 12:17 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $3.58 |
| 10-30 14:17 | Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $3.50 |
| 10-30 14:13 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.50 |
| 10-29 07:48 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5899999393 | $3.50 |
| 10-29 07:45 | Spread: Hawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.50 |
| 10-28 13:50 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 0.5899999393 | $3.50 |
| 10-28 13:46 | Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.6699999483 | $3.50 |
| 10-28 13:44 | Lakers vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.6299999496 | $3.50 |
| 10-27 18:45 | Spread: 76ers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-27 18:44 | Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $3.24 |
| 10-26 08:54 | Spread: Pacers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $3.13 |
| 10-26 08:53 | Spread: Celtics (-15.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $3.08 |