0x3dcA6695d0dB9F6674e4cfB2512fD650fDC8CC84-1748452973114
0x168e7984643d68f67a99ecf4f8c0f4d2d1fab2ae
- Realised P&L
- $-33.76
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $27.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.520 | $21.70 | −$0.81 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · No | 0.622 | 0.480 | $4.62 | −$1.36 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.532 | 0.320 | $0.84 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.83at 0.498Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$27.25at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$23.00at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$16.35at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$10.90at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 00:12 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.5675757576 | $9.37 |
| 10-26 17:50 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 18:30 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.44 |
| 10-24 17:04 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 16:12 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 11:35 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 05:27 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.47 |
| 10-24 04:56 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 04:56 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 04:55 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.19 |
| 10-24 04:53 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.2019999612 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 04:39 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.4486939182 | $4.50 |
| 10-24 04:06 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 21:12 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.2539999867 | $1.98 |
| 10-23 21:02 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |