0x168dfefe37e028e0e981db2e50d2b85ea9b15471
0x168dfefe37e028e0e981db2e50d2b85ea9b15471
- Realised P&L
- $17.19
- Volume
- $223.31
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $3.81
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.740 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · No | 0.280 | 0.275 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.510 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.375 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.35at 0.230Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$2.32at 0.307Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.91at 0.349S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 17:18 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 06:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:42 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 14:27 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 05:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:39 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 12:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:37 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:05 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:56 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:27 | Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |