PolyBot

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Traders

0x168dEED73838605b1391eE340cBeefbfbc7702B4-1776434041291

0x168deed73838605b1391ee340cbeefbfbc7702b4

Realised P&L
$-40.38
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$120.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes0.8660.935$119.09+$8.73
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.080$1.78$0.22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.0640.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$16.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6400.000$0.00$34.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 15:39Israel election: will Likud lose seats?BUY0.8664669249$110.36
07-16 15:31Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9915855109$110.05
06-20 14:41Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.91$101.00
06-20 08:53Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.966$101.95
05-13 20:04Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8399999968$31.54
05-13 20:03Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?SELL0.829079125$30.70
05-13 20:00US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6699999966$14.00
05-13 19:59Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.48$9.93
05-02 11:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6199999981$20.00
05-02 11:01Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
04-25 21:09Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0899999892$7.00
04-20 09:02Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY0.0641151984$5.00
04-18 10:16Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.8099999957$30.00
04-18 10:13Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5799999845$12.00
04-17 14:35Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1586367157$16.00