PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kikinew

0x16886aade95a14b7f15ed814e8e93dbfe780ce4b

Realised P&L
$0.95
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
205
Open portfolio
$3.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded205
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.8400.845$1.01+$0.01
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? · Yes0.8800.845$0.96−$0.04
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28? · Yes0.9000.853$0.95−$0.05
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-28? · Yes0.9500.880$0.93−$0.07
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$1.00
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo · Real Madrid0.9700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud · Ruud0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud · Stefanos Tsitsipas0.3060.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$1.00
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev · Daniil Medvedev0.9450.000$0.00−$1.00
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi · Matteo Berrettini0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina · Elena Rybakina0.8540.000$0.00−$1.00
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek · Iga Swiatek0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 08:35Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?BUY0.8399994288$1.00
10-31 08:35Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-31 08:35Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-31 08:34Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
10-31 08:34Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.889999911$1.00
10-31 08:33Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-27 21:53Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-29?BUY0.95$1.00
10-27 21:52Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
10-26 22:02Real Madrid vs. BurgosBUY0.97$1.00
10-26 22:01Real Madrid vs. BurgosBUY0.97$1.00
10-26 22:00Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.9$1.00
10-26 22:00Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.95$1.00
10-26 21:59Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-29?BUY0.92$1.00
10-26 21:59Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
10-26 21:59Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-29?BUY0.92$1.00