0x167b609e5b2a6539714a36971a734a70473b146c
0x167b609e5b2a6539714a36971a734a70473b146c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.94
- Volume
- $902.76
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.930 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$0.00at 0.500US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$-0.04at 0.394US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 13:42 | Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.40 |
| 06-22 13:41 | Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 21:26 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.123 | $0.94 |
| 05-27 21:26 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1309998997 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 12:34 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 12:18 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.99 |
| 05-16 12:18 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 12:17 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.98 |
| 05-16 12:17 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 02:39 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.99 |
| 05-16 02:39 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 01:16 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.98 |
| 05-16 01:16 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 23:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.165 | $1.49 |
| 05-15 23:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1659999183 | $1.50 |