qiqeirus
0x167aa9e1e8f4983f78ee298f357bec8350aef55c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.10
- Volume
- $93.47
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.690 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.246 | $1.29 | −$0.21 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.96 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.24 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.64 |
| Hawks vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.03 |
| Kings vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Heat vs. Hornets · Hornets | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.37at 0.349Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$1.36at 0.686Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.35at 0.531Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$1.24at 0.597Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$1.07at 0.557Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 06:05 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2859999588 | $1.50 |
| 09-03 06:15 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 10:39 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 13:37 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5299999548 | $1.64 |
| 07-01 14:02 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.30 |
| 06-30 16:09 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999376 | $1.85 |
| 06-27 18:50 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.33 |
| 06-22 18:18 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5199999788 | $1.96 |
| 06-20 15:14 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.6799999723 | $2.95 |
| 05-19 13:16 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899998801 | $1.82 |
| 05-17 09:10 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.5209999594 | $1.50 |
| 05-16 11:18 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.5699999586 | $1.24 |
| 05-15 11:14 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3399999195 | $2.28 |
| 03-06 16:40 | Heat vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.7299999801 | $2.94 |
| 03-04 15:50 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999377 | $2.03 |