0x16739aca074baa343f970ac5ac34eff04ada3668
0x16739aca074baa343f970ac5ac34eff04ada3668
- Realised P&L
- $10.76
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $117.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.595 | $117.87 | −$48.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.03at 0.980MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$2.20at 0.964Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$1.77at 0.987Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 14?
- +$1.66at 0.987Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.30at 0.990EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 06:20 | APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.08 |
| 05-24 06:20 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $166.26 |
| 05-01 08:20 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-31 00:16 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $156.80 |
| 03-31 00:16 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.998 | $162.67 |
| 03-24 10:27 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $161.37 |
| 03-20 04:42 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9869666667 | $148.05 |
| 03-15 07:08 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-14 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $159.68 |
| 03-14 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $148.70 |
| 03-14 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on March 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.72 |
| 03-14 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.9868584906 | $156.91 |