PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hmblc

0x16715b4851df58daffc9f4d9a5d039d663812f6d

Realised P&L
$-249.83
Volume
$59.2k
Markets traded
334
Open portfolio
$34.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded334
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1290.045$22.67$42.28
FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4600.500$5.50+$0.44
FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6400.515$4.12$1.00
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0070.002$1.24$4.90
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.019$0.72+$0.30
Will Ukraine win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.0050.001$0.09$0.77
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.08
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over0.6900.000$0.00$6.90
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00$1.88
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$43.32
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.20
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$1.75
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 18:00Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$2.06
08-19 17:59Will Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2028?SELL0.06$3.41
08-19 17:58Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028?SELL0.09$4.50
08-19 17:58Will Croatia win the UEFA EURO 2028?SELL0.013$3.82
08-19 17:57Will FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka end in a draw?SELL0.14$2.38
08-19 17:56Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$7.50
08-19 17:56Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?SELL0.15$15.00
08-19 17:55Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028?SELL0.0802025907$15.48
08-19 17:55Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.377$90.46
08-19 17:50Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.007$0.32
08-06 12:18Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.004$1.12
07-30 19:46Will KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy end in a draw?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
07-22 17:22Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.65$6.50
07-21 22:20Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$5.00
07-21 22:00Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.024$12.00