hmblc
0x16715b4851df58daffc9f4d9a5d039d663812f6d
- Realised P&L
- $-249.83
- Volume
- $59.2k
- Markets traded
- 334
- Open portfolio
- $34.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded334
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.54at 0.620Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$170.57at 0.258Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$150.24at 0.102Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$104.89at 0.545Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
- +$93.16at 0.635France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 18:00 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.06 |
| 08-19 17:59 | Will Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2028? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.41 |
| 08-19 17:58 | Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-19 17:58 | Will Croatia win the UEFA EURO 2028? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.82 |
| 08-19 17:57 | Will FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka end in a draw? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.38 |
| 08-19 17:56 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.50 |
| 08-19 17:56 | Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 08-19 17:55 | Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028? | SELL | 0.0802025907 | $15.48 |
| 08-19 17:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.377 | $90.46 |
| 08-19 17:50 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.32 |
| 08-06 12:18 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.12 |
| 07-30 19:46 | Will KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 17:22 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 07-21 22:20 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 22:00 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.024 | $12.00 |