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Traders

Nikalix

0x166e7ec7c3eb767a9824b87bd4926c09226d6abd

Realised P&L
$4.55
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$17.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6500.760$5.85+$0.85
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.905$5.26+$0.26
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.3190.295$4.63−$0.37
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1100.038$1.75−$3.25
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.2000.035$0.34−$1.66
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$5.00
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026? · No0.7440.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump attend his son's wedding? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$2.00
Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.6200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.0360.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 13:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.989$11.49
06-19 15:43 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
06-19 01:34Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?BUY0.7437377283$10.00
06-16 18:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
06-16 17:21Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?SELL0.9301526211$14.02
06-12 20:43Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?BUY0.6667728169$5.00
06-12 20:42Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?BUY0.6599999604$5.00
06-09 01:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.9$20.07
05-27 22:31Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
05-27 22:31Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
05-27 22:30Hurricanes vs. CanadiensBUY0.4199999832$5.00
05-25 12:16Hurricanes vs. CanadiensBUY0.4399999648$5.00
05-24 15:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
05-22 23:59Golden Knights vs. AvalancheBUY0.3799999468$2.00
05-22 22:00Will Trump attend his son's wedding?BUY0.0389999815$2.00
Trader Nikalix · PolyBot Pro