Nikalix
0x166e7ec7c3eb767a9824b87bd4926c09226d6abd
- Realised P&L
- $4.55
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $17.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.48at 0.580 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$10.07at 0.448Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$8.79at 0.367Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
- +$6.50at 0.430Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$5.25at 0.488Lightning vs. Canadiens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 13:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $11.49 |
| 06-19 15:43 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 01:34 | Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7437377283 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 18:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 17:21 | Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.9301526211 | $14.02 |
| 06-12 20:43 | Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6667728169 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 20:42 | Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 01:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.9 | $20.07 |
| 05-27 22:31 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 22:31 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 22:30 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 12:16 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 15:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 23:59 | Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 05-22 22:00 | Will Trump attend his son's wedding? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |