0x1668d4b52386c4a3F472F6B045dd615cdE9843D5-1754989652496
0x1668d4b52386c4a3f472f6b045dd615cde9843d5
- Realised P&L
- $-669.49
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 514
- Open portfolio
- $463.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded514
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.46at 0.150Cuban regime falls in 2026?
- +$48.40at 0.030Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$23.65at 0.567Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 17?
- +$19.50at 0.753Solana Up or Down on September 13?
- +$18.85at 0.406Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.80 |
| 07-14 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 09:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.9669999626 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 06-25 16:31 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $56.40 |
| 06-24 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.30 |
| 06-24 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.2673267036 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.359999946 | $4.00 |
| 06-23 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 13:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 06-22 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.359999946 | $4.00 |
| 06-22 08:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 06-21 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |