PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1668d4b52386c4a3F472F6B045dd615cdE9843D5-1754989652496

0x1668d4b52386c4a3f472f6b045dd615cde9843d5

Realised P&L
$-669.49
Volume
$76.2k
Markets traded
514
Open portfolio
$463.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded514
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7600.175$122.50$409.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.145$101.49$87.58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9100.991$99.05+$8.05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.8700.935$93.50+$6.50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3490.045$25.65$173.30
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4600.105$21.10$70.90
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 13? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 4? · Yes0.3380.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 3? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 3? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$5.00
Bears vs. Chiefs · Chiefs 0.9500.000$0.00$4.84
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00$0.50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on September 16? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$3.45
Nationals vs. Phillies · Phillies0.9700.000$0.00$4.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 16:19Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 15?SELL0.08$1.80
07-14 07:45Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?BUY0.4$2.00
07-14 07:42Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 15?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
07-06 09:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?BUY0.9669999626$20.00
06-29 07:40Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 30?BUY0.16$3.00
06-25 16:31Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?SELL0.47$56.40
06-24 22:53Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-24 22:52Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?SELL0.15$4.30
06-24 11:48Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 25?BUY0.2673267036$5.00
06-23 14:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?BUY0.359999946$4.00
06-23 14:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 24?BUY0.209999974$5.00
06-23 13:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.035$3.50
06-22 19:28Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?BUY0.359999946$4.00
06-22 08:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.88$8.80
06-21 23:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22?BUY0.32$4.00