NCheuk
0x1656abe8d203fd0b9b4a629fa8e7109b6f17d340
- Realised P&L
- $-251.82
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $32.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.400 | $32.39 | −$4.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.45at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?
- +$32.60at 0.804Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?
- +$29.20at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?
- +$23.80at 0.846Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 7?
- +$22.52at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.45 |
| 09-26 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.5305 | $53.05 |
| 09-26 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.187572 | $37.51 |
| 09-26 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-25 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.32 |
| 09-25 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.8691200811 | $51.46 |
| 09-25 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.15 |
| 09-25 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.24 |
| 09-24 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.31 |
| 09-24 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.21 |
| 09-23 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.2724041667 | $32.69 |
| 09-23 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.4291937008 | $13.63 |
| 09-23 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.3509710145 | $77.49 |
| 09-23 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 09-23 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.26 | $17.29 |