eaxzpdkfnl1u
0x1653da6e3afc6f1545c17b71971b8dea29c6e8b9
- Realised P&L
- $-21.62
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $64.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 19? · No | 0.885 | 1.000 | $30.48 | +$3.48 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 20? · No | 0.943 | 0.945 | $7.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 19? · No | 0.890 | 0.955 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 19? · No | 0.940 | 0.950 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 19? · No | 0.900 | 1.000 | $5.04 | +$0.50 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 20? · No | 0.863 | 0.865 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 20? · No | 0.920 | 0.895 | $4.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No | 0.960 | 1.000 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.97at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 25?
- +$3.36at 0.917Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?
- +$3.22at 0.865Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 16?
- +$3.10at 0.898Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 10?
- +$2.69at 0.904Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8899999982 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8626409213 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 15:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8303307905 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 12:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6999999067 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |