0x16538ddf069090e936840aeca3283e1d7a2624b0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $75.8k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $752.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? · No | 0.720 | 0.715 | $100.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw? · No | 0.810 | 0.805 | $99.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? · No | 0.750 | 0.745 | $99.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? · No | 0.750 | 0.745 | $99.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · No | 0.720 | 0.715 | $99.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF end in a draw? · No | 0.690 | 0.685 | $99.28 | −$0.72 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · No | 0.760 | 0.745 | $98.03 | −$1.97 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.150 | $30.77 | −$69.23 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.071 | $26.30 | −$73.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.26at 0.184Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?
- +$249.06at 0.620Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$193.59at 0.510Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$166.61at 0.550Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$139.23at 0.590Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 07:00 | Will Juventus FC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 06:55 | Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 06:55 | Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 06:54 | Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 06:54 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 06:53 | Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 06:53 | Will Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 21:15 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $126.45 |
| 09-19 21:14 | Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $133.20 |
| 09-19 21:14 | Will Willem II Tilburg vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw? | SELL | 0.996239931 | $132.83 |
| 09-19 15:44 | Will AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 06:52 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 06:51 | Will Willem II Tilburg vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7499999963 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 06:51 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 06:50 | Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7499999963 | $100.00 |