PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

laia

0x1643652e65b54ee5131188b966cf844a03930c77

Realised P&L
$-11.10
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$4.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? · Yes0.6601.000$1.52+$0.52
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.067$1.06−$2.94
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.0190.010$0.95−$0.89
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.2300.063$0.82−$2.18
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1460.025$0.51−$2.49
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$3.00
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$3.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$3.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-30 20:27Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.0192988436$1.84
12-30 20:26Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?BUY0.66$1.00
12-30 20:26Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
12-30 20:26Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
12-30 20:25Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.1459999599$3.00
12-30 20:25Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.25$4.00
12-30 20:24Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.2299999456$3.00
12-30 18:03Will Base launch a token in 2025?SELL0.001$0.03
12-30 18:01Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?SELL0.029$0.12
12-30 02:45Lighter Airdrop on December 29?SELL0.09$0.21
12-29 06:54Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.859999991$3.84
12-29 06:54Lighter Airdrop on December 30?BUY0.3719997723$1.00
12-29 06:52Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.25$1.00
12-29 06:51Lighter Airdrop on December 29?BUY0.429999828$1.00
12-29 06:50Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299998986$1.00