JacksonEst
0x164283ea8250b5135bc9527b7f9aea877849a076
- Realised P&L
- $-570.05
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $1.6k | +$43.39 |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes | 0.756 | 0.976 | $451.97 | +$101.97 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$434.28 |
| Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5) · Zirə FK | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$523.97 |
| Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-08-02? · No | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.63 |
| Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.90at 0.465Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-30?
- +$141.28at 0.591Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 07:37 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.7557947578 | $350.00 |
| 08-09 00:11 | Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5793262423 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 00:11 | Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5784595599 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:20 | Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.396 | $99.00 |
| 07-31 04:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $101.20 |
| 07-31 04:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $981.64 |
| 07-29 09:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $514.00 |
| 07-29 09:20 | Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.46 | $142.60 |
| 07-23 14:31 | Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999998 | $523.97 |
| 07-11 10:04 | Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1028509455 | $10.79 |
| 06-23 16:37 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $434.28 |