PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x163F67493899DA17C86FA338964649042b27F21F-1761672126488

0x163f67493899da17c86fa338964649042b27f21f

Realised P&L
$-30.97
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$113.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? · Yes0.3950.345$35.19−$5.10
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? · Yes0.5750.575$23.45+$0.00
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? · Yes0.3260.320$21.14−$0.38
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? · Yes0.5400.430$17.53−$4.49
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? · No0.4680.425$10.06−$1.01
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 24? · Yes0.2100.180$3.67−$0.61
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes0.1500.160$2.66+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-22 12:45Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.6742366169$35.03
04-22 12:39Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.2199999727$4.44
04-22 12:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.4299999871$4.59
04-22 12:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.4599999595$4.61
04-22 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.3299999591$4.52
04-22 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.3499999615$4.53
04-22 12:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.359999977$4.54
04-22 12:29Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.06$0.05
04-22 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.5099999796$4.65
04-22 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.5199999834$4.65
04-22 12:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.1299999789$4.37
04-22 12:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.6699999625$4.76
04-22 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.5199999834$4.65
04-22 09:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.4899999804$4.63
04-22 09:25Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5199999834$4.65