0x163F67493899DA17C86FA338964649042b27F21F-1761672126488
0x163f67493899da17c86fa338964649042b27f21f
- Realised P&L
- $-30.97
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $113.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.345 | $35.19 | −$5.10 |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.575 | $23.45 | +$0.00 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.320 | $21.14 | −$0.38 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.430 | $17.53 | −$4.49 |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31? · No | 0.468 | 0.425 | $10.06 | −$1.01 |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 24? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.180 | $3.67 | −$0.61 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.160 | $2.66 | +$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.57at 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$9.11at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$4.28at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$2.08at 0.706Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$1.80at 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6742366169 | $35.03 |
| 04-22 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $4.44 |
| 04-22 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $4.59 |
| 04-22 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $4.61 |
| 04-22 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $4.52 |
| 04-22 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $4.53 |
| 04-22 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $4.54 |
| 04-22 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $0.05 |
| 04-22 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $4.65 |
| 04-22 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $4.65 |
| 04-22 12:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $4.37 |
| 04-22 12:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $4.76 |
| 04-22 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $4.65 |
| 04-22 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $4.63 |
| 04-22 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $4.65 |