0x163F41bc2a16b96Ff112fC31d0b61D3E1F71b1C1-1774382687683
0x163f41bc2a16b96ff112fc31d0b61d3e1f71b1c1
- Realised P&L
- $-208.55
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $117.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.045 | $103.35 | +$3.35 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.009 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $3.77 | −$2.35 |
| Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.89at 0.091Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:20 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0440245261 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 10:40 | Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0081192102 | $6.12 |
| 07-22 10:38 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0089999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 10:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0909999925 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 10:31 | Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 04-28 10:46 | Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0531631271 | $200.00 |
| 03-26 06:18 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.0926979192 | $100.00 |