0x163EfF4d251dF4BFC95C49f4D90Cd1bF224eDC5B-1768366778047
0x163eff4d251df4bfc95c49f4d90cd1bf224edc5b
- Realised P&L
- $-295.4k
- Volume
- $15.12M
- Markets traded
- 496
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded496
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.116 | $1.2k | +$215.00 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.075 | $728.65 | +$48.58 |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.054 | $505.31 | +$13.91 |
| Magic vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.6k |
| Hawks vs. Pelicans · Hawks | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) · 76ers | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Spread: Thunder (-10.5) · Thunder | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.5k |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers · Timberwolves | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.9k |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) · Jazz | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) · Clippers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.2k |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) · Pistons | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.7kat 0.600UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$46.2kat 0.513Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
- +$42.4kat 0.520Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5
- +$41.1kat 0.514Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
- +$37.4kat 0.772Thunder vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:39 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.07 | $591.35 |
| 11-01 02:38 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.053 | $15.08 |
| 11-01 01:26 | Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 10-31 22:47 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.76 | $3.8k |
| 10-31 22:41 | Hawks vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.65 | $3.3k |
| 10-31 22:05 | 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.52 | $3.1k |
| 10-31 19:32 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.87750582 | $8.8k |
| 10-31 19:02 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $122.50 |
| 10-30 04:21 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.094 | $76.81 |
| 10-30 01:15 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $1.2k |
| 10-30 00:45 | Cavaliers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.69 | $3.1k |
| 10-29 00:04 | Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $400.00 |
| 10-28 22:25 | Spread: 76ers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $1.7k |
| 10-28 22:21 | Spread: 76ers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $332.41 |
| 10-28 05:08 | Trail Blazers vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.74 | $5.2k |