centurion-legioIX
0x1634fb4fc0c381f748645d2717465b5c4e125975
- Realised P&L
- $-363.37
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $218.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.180 | $218.46 | −$76.53 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 12? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.92 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.99 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Up | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.88at 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 18:07 | US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2780208 | $27.80 |
| 02-09 22:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.0451927612 | $40.00 |
| 02-07 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1611157539 | $99.09 |
| 02-06 22:21 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3187897566 | $100.00 |