PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bordan-Jelfort

0x162f03532838f803a3845b70818926c940719309

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$213.2k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$669.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.015$478.71$21.28
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? · Yes0.2200.735$100.23+$70.23
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1470.122$41.70$8.30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2300.445$38.70+$18.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.5101.000$9.80+$4.80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00$813.89
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00$550.00
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? · Yes0.5640.000$0.00$700.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down0.3360.000$0.00$30.00
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$220.00
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00$60.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$75.00
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$200.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$191.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 20:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
08-15 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.16$5.00
08-15 20:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.4299999967$25.00
08-15 20:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.169999995$25.00
08-15 20:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.2699999681$5.00
08-15 20:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.5084498573$25.00
08-15 20:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$96.00
08-15 20:33Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.252694466$25.00
08-15 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.4799999931$25.00
08-15 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.6558028547$25.00
08-07 14:23Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1468824916$50.00
08-07 03:01Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?BUY0.2199999949$30.00
08-07 02:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
08-07 02:57Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.0235211321$20.00
06-26 22:14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.13$78.00