Bordan-Jelfort
0x162f03532838f803a3845b70818926c940719309
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $213.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $669.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.090US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
- +$680.74at 0.409US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$515.52at 0.053Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$422.84at 0.250US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$361.67at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 20:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999967 | $25.00 |
| 08-15 20:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.169999995 | $25.00 |
| 08-15 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5084498573 | $25.00 |
| 08-15 20:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $96.00 |
| 08-15 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.252694466 | $25.00 |
| 08-15 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999931 | $25.00 |
| 08-15 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6558028547 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 14:23 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1468824916 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 03:01 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 02:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 02:57 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.0235211321 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 22:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $78.00 |