Bordan-Jelfort
0x162f03532838f803a3845b70818926c940719309
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $210.7k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $708.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.090US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
- +$680.74at 0.409US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$515.51at 0.053Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$422.84at 0.250US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$361.67at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 22:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $78.00 |
| 06-26 22:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 05-19 21:38 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $200.00 |
| 05-05 17:33 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $87.50 |
| 04-17 20:50 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0170427948 | $95.61 |
| 04-17 20:50 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $404.39 |
| 04-17 20:50 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 19:34 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.2699999981 | $75.00 |
| 04-06 19:32 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.3 | $41.52 |
| 04-06 19:30 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $41.97 |
| 04-02 20:08 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $27.00 |
| 04-02 20:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.2890072561 | $40.00 |
| 03-25 16:31 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $400.00 |
| 03-25 16:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.14034799 | $280.70 |
| 03-22 19:34 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $700.00 |