ddt-1
0x162e2778f4cd82a11d6fcc2db4a61c61d8ef6bbb
- Realised P&L
- $-204.84
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $145.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.100 | $74.60 | −$86.78 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.095 | $70.87 | −$297.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.58at 0.271Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
- +$53.50at 0.300Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?
- +$45.00at 0.100Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
- +$34.42at 0.230Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
- +$28.35at 0.195Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 18:37 | Will Trump say "Trump Time" in April? | BUY | 0.0573031284 | $1.06 |
| 04-28 18:35 | Will Trump say "Trump Time" in April? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.34 |
| 04-28 18:32 | Will Trump say "Trump Time" in April? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.34 |
| 04-28 17:25 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $31.89 |
| 04-28 17:22 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26? | SELL | 0.0357972028 | $1.23 |
| 04-28 17:22 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5? | SELL | 0.0332097902 | $1.14 |
| 04-28 13:01 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 22:27 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $7.31 |
| 04-26 22:26 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.49 |
| 04-26 22:12 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $22.36 |
| 04-26 22:11 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.14 |
| 04-26 21:43 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 04-26 21:43 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 04-26 21:37 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $10.26 |
| 04-26 21:37 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.08 |