1988pol
0x162dde1490401353bdea7667fbcc964450763e63
- Realised P&L
- $14.73
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $8.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.03at 0.442Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 6?
- +$11.45at 0.640Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 23?
- +$4.90at 0.716Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 23?
- +$4.78at 0.419Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 22?
- +$4.72at 0.637XRP Up or Down - April 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9699999849 | $47.00 |
| 09-14 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.28 |
| 09-12 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.44 |
| 09-12 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.4672072072 | $5.19 |
| 09-10 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.4501947317 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.59 |
| 09-10 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.96 | $4.17 |