PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Conderf

0x162bf7990a0430083cd12160a8d263cc7e2563d3

Realised P&L
$1.76
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$0.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0270.009$0.16$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 07:58Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$237.53
07-13 05:07Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?SELL0.001070307$0.11
07-11 09:19Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?SELL0.15$0.75
07-11 09:18Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?SELL0.16$48.00
05-30 05:25Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?SELL0.05$57.25
05-29 06:37Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.9$459.00
05-29 05:06US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.91$718.89
05-28 08:04Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.9$7.20
05-28 06:39Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.91$717.08
05-28 05:34Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.897$178.06
05-02 08:35Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)BUY0.99$479.16
05-02 07:40Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?BUY0.971$475.79
05-01 06:59Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)BUY0.91$436.80
05-01 06:00Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?BUY0.954$431.21