initializing
0x161ef71161f3115b047229a2be5899e6c696674a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $28.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-47.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 4? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $10.33 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.13 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $3.13 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or below on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $2.37 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $2.33 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $2.25 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.989 | $2.10 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $1.57 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 61°F or below on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $1.36 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-6.3kat 0.980Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Both Teams to Score Points - Q2
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.9979995653 | $2.25 |
| 10-03 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 61°F or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.9989995421 | $1.37 |
| 10-03 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.13 |
| 10-03 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.33 |
| 10-03 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9979997637 | $2.12 |
| 10-03 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.57 |
| 10-03 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9989997236 | $3.13 |
| 10-03 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.37 |
| 10-03 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.31 |
| 10-03 12:09 | Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | SELL | 0.02 | $131.66 |
| 10-03 12:09 | Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | BUY | 0.98 | $6.5k |