Art0888
0x161a510e43e5f45dbd4346afcf07f3fd7e09b515
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $256.7k
- Markets traded
- 415
- Open portfolio
- $29.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded415
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$695.27at 0.878Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
- +$631.39at 0.792Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
- +$480.34at 0.878Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
- +$205.45at 0.885Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
- +$191.09at 0.942Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:23 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 08:22 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 08:20 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 08:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9929999953 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 23:31 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9545131982 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 23:31 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7367791099 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 23:29 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999883 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 23:26 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 15:09 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999995 | $300.00 |
| 07-17 23:13 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999963 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 23:13 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.9599999962 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 23:12 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 23:12 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999956 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 15:58 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 13:06 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9561331037 | $300.00 |