Art0888
0x161a510e43e5f45dbd4346afcf07f3fd7e09b515
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $267.8k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $30.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$695.27at 0.878Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
- +$631.39at 0.792Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
- +$480.34at 0.878Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
- +$304.94at 0.747Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
- +$205.45at 0.884Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:27 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.990014361 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 09:27 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 09:26 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.9587971889 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 09:26 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999987 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 09:24 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.9700916383 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 09:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 09:22 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9690886686 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 08:18 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9420238837 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 08:18 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 08:17 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 08:16 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9781022405 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 08:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9692766734 | $661.64 |
| 09-15 08:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $663.78 |
| 09-15 08:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $545.77 |
| 09-15 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $123.07 |