PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Art0888

0x161a510e43e5f45dbd4346afcf07f3fd7e09b515

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$256.7k
Markets traded
415
Open portfolio
$29.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded415
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.980$3.6k+$311.93
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9590.965$2.3k+$13.90
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8510.975$2.3k+$291.07
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · No0.8320.940$2.3k+$260.19
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8690.969$1.9k+$195.67
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · No0.9780.989$1.2k+$13.14
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7580.975$899.28+$199.28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No0.9600.976$894.01+$14.01
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8390.969$808.28+$108.27
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.978$796.05+$96.05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · No0.9580.972$709.90+$9.91
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.976$696.79+$96.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8550.895$628.18+$28.18
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8790.920$628.00+$28.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.875$617.89+$17.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 08:23Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.95$100.00
08-02 08:22Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?BUY0.98$100.00
08-02 08:20Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?BUY0.99$300.00
08-02 08:19Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.9929999953$100.00
07-19 23:31Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.9545131982$300.00
07-19 23:31Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7367791099$50.00
07-19 23:29Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5899999883$50.00
07-19 23:26Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.92$100.00
07-18 15:09Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9859999995$300.00
07-17 23:13Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.9299999963$100.00
07-17 23:13Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?BUY0.9599999962$100.00
07-17 23:12Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
07-17 23:12Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9579999956$100.00
07-16 15:58Nothing Ever Happens: JulyBUY0.9499999981$100.00
07-15 13:06Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.9561331037$300.00
Trader Art0888 · PolyBot