goldisoverrated
0x161775688df7b868f2194f2a1eee7b78c552d790
- Realised P&L
- $-14.7k
- Volume
- $969.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,976
- Open portfolio
- $566.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,976
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.619Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.3kat 0.586Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$3.7kat 0.530Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$2.6kat 0.544Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
- +$2.6kat 0.490Spread: United States (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.933 | $0.01 |
| 07-19 21:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.906 | $0.04 |
| 07-19 21:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.912 | $0.03 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.923 | $0.04 |
| 07-19 21:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.893 | $0.06 |
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.02 |
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.924 | $0.07 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Spain win the World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.04 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.929 | $0.07 |
| 07-19 21:42 | Will Spain win the World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.01 |
| 07-19 21:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.01 |
| 07-19 21:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.601 | $0.06 |
| 07-19 21:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.648 | $0.06 |
| 07-19 21:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.694 | $0.04 |
| 07-19 20:59 | Will Argentina win the World Cup? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.01 |