PolyBot

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Traders

goldisoverrated

0x161775688df7b868f2194f2a1eee7b78c552d790

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
2,996
Open portfolio
$496.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,996
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9640.989$24.61+$0.61
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8950.958$12.84+$0.83
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9420.955$12.17+$0.17
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9600.970$12.12+$0.12
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9880.998$12.11+$0.11
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9850.993$12.09+$0.09
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9760.981$12.06+$0.06
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9880.993$12.05+$0.05
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9880.992$12.04+$0.04
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9880.991$12.03+$0.03
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9810.982$12.01+$0.00
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9750.972$11.96$0.04
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9890.984$11.93$0.06
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9690.953$11.80$0.20
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.7980.785$11.80$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:55Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.5499999998$1000.00
09-17 19:35Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.6199999999$1000.00
09-16 19:22Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5199999998$1000.00
09-12 19:02Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.5999999999$1.0k
09-09 20:05Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.4499999998$600.00
09-06 21:03Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-06?SELL0.999$1.3k
09-06 19:57Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.5843358379$750.00
09-06 17:30Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?SELL0.999$4.3k
09-06 15:45Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.3499999999$1.5k
09-05 18:21Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.999$2.0k
09-05 18:21Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.999$3.0k
09-05 18:02Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.56$777.77
09-05 17:24Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.5$1.5k
09-05 17:07Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.5$1.0k
09-05 17:06Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.7199999995$1000.00