goldisoverrated
0x161775688df7b868f2194f2a1eee7b78c552d790
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 2,996
- Open portfolio
- $496.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,996
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.630Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.1kat 0.598Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$3.7kat 0.533Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$2.7kat 0.361Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
- +$2.6kat 0.552Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:55 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $1000.00 |
| 09-17 19:35 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-16 19:22 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $1000.00 |
| 09-12 19:02 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5999999999 | $1.0k |
| 09-09 20:05 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.4499999998 | $600.00 |
| 09-06 21:03 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 09-06 19:57 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.5843358379 | $750.00 |
| 09-06 17:30 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.3k |
| 09-06 15:45 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.3499999999 | $1.5k |
| 09-05 18:21 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 09-05 18:21 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 09-05 18:02 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.56 | $777.77 |
| 09-05 17:24 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.5k |
| 09-05 17:07 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 09-05 17:06 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.7199999995 | $1000.00 |